Teaching PLN Causal Intelligence

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Dominik Tilman
Project Owner

Teaching PLN Causal Intelligence

Expert Rating

n/a

Overview

With this proposal, we want to contribute to improving PLN's capabilities through our research of causal reasoning. We want to address both objectives of the RFP by combining our research with the development of a theoretical framework and its validation in two complementary areas: bioinformatics and reputation systems. With this proposal we aim to deliver: 1. Theoretical frameworks for integrating causal reasoning into PLN's inference control 2. Validated methods for distinguishing causation from correlation using PLN rules 3. Proof-of-concept implementations demonstrating our findings in AtomSpace 4. Guidelines for future PLN improvements based on our research results

RFP Guidelines

Causal learning guided PLN inference control

Internal Proposal Review
  • Type SingularityNET RFP
  • Total RFP Funding $150,000 USD
  • Proposals 3
  • Awarded Projects n/a
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SingularityNET
Oct. 4, 2024

Implementing causal, versus strictly correlative, inference can lead to a deeper understanding of many complex problems. Probabilistic Logic Networks (PLN), with their robust mathematical foundations for handling uncertain and incomplete knowledge—such as induction, abduction, analogy, and reasoning about time—offer a strong framework for this task. This project has two main goals:

  1. To guide PLN inference control using causal networks.
  2. To explore how PLN rules can distinguish causal from correlational relationships.

Proposals can address either of these goals separately or explore both together and the feedback between them. Submissions should include testable examples to validate the approach and demonstrate how causal reasoning improves PLN’s overall performance.

Proposal Description

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  • Total Milestones

    9

  • Total Budget

    $50,000 USD

  • Last Updated

    8 Dec 2024

Milestone 1 - Project kick-off and research preparation

Description

Project Kick-Off meeting of the team and coordination with the SNET team on the project design and make any final milestone changes as necessary.

Deliverables

- Signed contract - Detailed research plan - Initial literature review outline

Budget

$1,500 USD

Success Criterion

Signed Contract

Milestone 2 - Theoretical Research

Description

Core research phase investigating causal networks and PLN inference.

Deliverables

1. Research Reports: - Causal network theory analysis - PLN inference control study - Causation vs correlation differentiation methods 2. Initial theoretical frameworks 3. Proposed algorithmic approaches 4. Analysis of integration points with PRIMUS architecture 5. Review of potential MeTTa implementation approaches

Budget

$9,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Comprehensive theoretical foundation established - Clear approach for causal network integration identified - Methods for causation/correlation distinction defined

Milestone 3 - Framework Development

Description

Development of formal frameworks and algorithms.

Deliverables

1. Formal Frameworks: - Causal inference guidance models - Pattern recognition algorithms - Validation methodologies 2. Algorithm specifications 3. Validation criteria 4. Framework compatibility assessment with Hyperon's knowledge representation 5. Integration considerations for PLN within Hyperon

Budget

$9,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Complete formal framework documentation - Algorithm specifications ready for implementation - Validation approach defined

Milestone 4 - Proof-of-Concept Design

Description

Design of validation implementations.

Deliverables

1. Technical Design: - PLN rule prototypes - Causal pattern specifications - Test case designs 2. Implementation plan 3. Validation metrics 4. Design patterns suitable for MeTTa implementation 5. Consideration of Hyperon's metagraph capabilities

Budget

$9,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Design documents approved - Test cases defined - Implementation approach validated

Milestone 5 - Bioinformatics Validation Implementation

Description

Implementation and testing of biomedical validation cases

Deliverables

1. Proof-of-Concept Implementation: - Basic causal pattern recognition - Pathway analysis examples - Test suite 2. Validation results 3. Analysis documentation

Budget

$6,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Working proof-of-concept for biological pathways - Validation results documented - Key findings analyzed

Milestone 6 - Reputation System Validation

Description

Implementation and testing of reputation system validation cases

Deliverables

1. Proof-of-Concept Implementation: - User behavior analysis - Trust computation examples - Test scenarios 2. Validation results 3. Analysis documentation

Budget

$6,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Working proof-of-concept for reputation systems - Validation results documented - Comparative analysis completed

Milestone 7 - Research Analysis & Findings

Description

Comprehensive analysis of research results.

Deliverables

1. Research Analysis: - Cross-domain findings - Method effectiveness analysis - Limitations and challenges 2. Future research recommendations 3. Integration guidelines 4. Specific recommendations for Hyperon/PRIMUS integration 5. Future development paths within the cognitive architecture

Budget

$3,000 USD

Success Criterion

- Complete analysis of findings - Clear recommendations documented - Integration paths identified

Milestone 8 - Integration Guidelines

Description

Development of PLN integration guidelines.

Deliverables

1. Integration Documentation: - Technical implementation guidelines - Best practices - Example patterns

Budget

$2,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Clear integration guidelines provided - Implementation examples documented

Milestone 9 - Final Report and Documentation

Description

Final research documentation and presentation.

Deliverables

1. Final Documentation: - Complete research findings - Validation results - Implementation guidelines 2. Research presentation 3. Code examples and prototypes

Budget

$1,500 USD

Success Criterion

- Complete research documentation delivered - All findings and guidelines approved - Presentation completed successfully

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